Legislature(2023 - 2024)DAVIS 106

04/04/2024 10:15 AM House ENERGY

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Audio Topic
10:15:27 AM Start
10:16:12 AM Presentation(s): National Renewable Energy Lab: Achieving 80% Renewable Portfolio Standard in Alaska's Railbelt with Cost Analysis
11:37:50 AM Adjourn
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
-- Please Note Location Change --
+ Presentation: Achieving an 80% Renewable TELECONFERENCED
Portfolio Standard in Alaska's Railbelt with
Cost Analysis by Dr. Paul Denholm, Senior
Research Fellow, National Renewable Energy Lab
+ Bills Previously Heard/Scheduled TELECONFERENCED
                    ALASKA STATE LEGISLATURE                                                                                  
               HOUSE SPECIAL COMMITTEE ON ENERGY                                                                              
                         April 4, 2024                                                                                          
                           10:15 a.m.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
                             DRAFT                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Representative George Rauscher, Chair                                                                                           
Representative Tom McKay                                                                                                        
Representative Thomas Baker                                                                                                     
Representative Stanley Wright                                                                                                   
Representative Calvin Schrage                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Representative Mike Prax                                                                                                        
Representative Jennie Armstrong                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
COMMITTEE CALENDAR                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
PRESENTATION(S): NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LAB: ACHIEVING 80%                                                                   
RENEWABLE PORTFOLIO STANDARD IN ALASKA'S RAILBELT WITH COST                                                                     
ANALYSIS                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     - HEARD                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
PREVIOUS COMMITTEE ACTION                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
No previous action to record                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
WITNESS REGISTER                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
PAUL DENHOLM, Senior Research Fellow                                                                                            
National Renewable Energy Lab                                                                                                   
Golden, Colorado                                                                                                                
POSITION STATEMENT:  Gave a PowerPoint presentation on                                                                        
developing renewables in Alaska.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
ACTION NARRATIVE                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
10:15:27 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER called the House Special Committee on Energy                                                                     
meeting to order at 10:15 a.m. Representatives Schrage, Wright,                                                                 
Baker,  McKay, and  Chair Rauscher  were present  at the  call to                                                               
order.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
^PRESENTATION(S):  NATIONAL RENEWABLE  ENERGY LAB:  ACHIEVING 80%                                                               
RENEWABLE  PORTFOLIO  STANDARD  IN ALASKA'S  RAILBELT  WITH  COST                                                               
ANALYSIS                                                                                                                        
 PRESENTATION(S): NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LAB: ACHIEVING 80%                                                              
  RENEWABLE PORTFOLIO STANDARD IN ALASKA'S RAILBELT WITH COST                                                               
                            ANALYSIS                                                                                        
                                                                                                                              
10:16:12 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER  announced that the  only order of  business would                                                               
be  a   presentation  titled  "National  Renewable   Energy  Lab:                                                               
Achieving 80%  Renewable Portfolio Standard in  Alaska's Railbelt                                                               
with Cost Analysis."                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
10:17:01 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
PAUL DENHOLM,  Senior Research Fellow, National  Renewable Energy                                                               
Lab (NREL), gave a PowerPoint  presentation [hardcopy included in                                                               
the  committee packet]  on developing  renewables  in Alaska.  He                                                               
began on slide  1, which gave background on who  NREL is and what                                                               
its  focus  is  regarding  energy standards  and  portfolios.  He                                                               
continued to slide  3 and 4, where he explained  the scope of the                                                               
study  on   Alaska's  Railbelt  electricity  grid,   as  well  as                                                               
explained the cost  and drawbacks of the looming  gas shortage in                                                               
the Cook  Inlet region. He said  that renewable energy is  a more                                                               
stable energy source  in comparison to the  natural gas currently                                                               
being  used in  the Railbelt  system. He  said that  developing a                                                               
renewable energy  project is locking  in the cost  of electricity                                                               
for decades through a contractual agreement.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
10:21:59 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  SCHRAGE asked  where  the study  of the  Railbelt                                                               
grid came from, what the impetus of the study was.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM said  that the  study originated  in the  governor's                                                               
office and was performed by NREL  using the lab's own dollars. He                                                               
said that the study couldn't  originally do cost analysis, so the                                                               
new  study aims  to  answer the  question:  "Can renewables  save                                                               
money?"                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
10:23:48 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM resumed his presentation  on slide 6, which posed the                                                               
question  of renewable  energy offsetting  current  fuel use  and                                                               
expense.  He said  about  7 to  8  cents of  cost  of energy  per                                                               
kilowatt hour (KwH) in the  Cook Inlet region comes directly from                                                               
gas  expenses. He  said the  expectation is  that the  cost would                                                               
rise  to 10  cents  per KwH.  He explained  how  cost impacts  of                                                               
renewable energy  can be understood and  integrated through their                                                               
uncertainty. He moved  to slide 7, which  explained how renewable                                                               
energy  can reduce  costs in  Alaska,  the challenges  associated                                                               
with  developing  renewables  in  Alaska, and  how  Alaska  could                                                               
implement  renewables  today.  He  continued to  slide  8,  which                                                               
explained  the difference  in cost  between all  of the  expenses                                                               
associated with renewables and the  current cost of using natural                                                               
gas.                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
10:29:46 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM continued his presentation  on slide 9, which gave an                                                               
example  of   a  "modelling  approach"  to   equally  divide  and                                                               
distribute energy resources.  He moved to slide  10, which showed                                                               
a map of the Railbelt grid  and described a future plan of action                                                               
and decisions in its management.  He continued to slide 11, which                                                               
described hypothetical  scenarios of mixed renewable  and natural                                                               
gas resource management. He said  one of the biggest deficiencies                                                               
of the analysis  was a lack of data on  new hydroelectric plants.                                                               
He skipped to  slide 13, which described "load growth,"  a way to                                                               
describe  the  phenomenon  of  a  growing  population  increasing                                                               
energy demand in the associated region's grid.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
10:33:13 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER asked  if Alaska is comparable to the  Lower 48 in                                                               
terms of its electrical grid management.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM  answered that  in the Lower  48, every  single state                                                               
except for Nebraska is  invested in private-for-profit utilities.                                                               
He  said  that  Alaska  is  unique  because  the  main  utilities                                                               
providers are public entities.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
10:34:59 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM   resumed  his  presentation  on   slide  14,  which                                                               
described  transmission and  interconnection  upgrades that  have                                                               
been made  to improve  the infrastructure  in certain  regions of                                                               
the Railbelt.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
10:36:49 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE MCKAY  asked a clarifying question  about what the                                                               
terms "PV" and "ITC" mean.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM said that PV  stands for solar photovotality, and ITC                                                               
is the investment tax credit.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
10:37:23 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM skipped  to slide 16, which  explained the importance                                                               
of capturing the cost-benefit of  using renewable energy. He said                                                               
that historically,  power is acquired through  a power-purchasing                                                               
agreement,  which   ensures  the  payment  on   an  agreed  price                                                               
established in  the agreement.  He continued  to slide  17, which                                                               
described the  previously mentioned  investment tax  credits that                                                               
could be used towards new renewable energy projects.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
10:40:51 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SCHRAGE  asked how long the  investment tax credit                                                               
is available.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM  said that right  now it is  unclear, but there  is a                                                               
"safe harbor"  provision that  ensures that  the credits  will be                                                               
awarded if a project is started by a certain date.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SCHRAGE  asked for clarification that  2040 is the                                                               
deadline  in  terms of  investment  tax  credit availability  and                                                               
project start date.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM said he thinks the  deadline is the late 2030s, maybe                                                               
2040.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SCHRAGE  observed that  there is a  limited window                                                               
of opportunity.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM confirmed  that is correct. He told  the committee he                                                               
would provide more definitive data at a future time.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
10:42:28 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM   resumed  his  presentation  on   slide  18,  which                                                               
explained the  cost multiplier that Alaska  poses when developing                                                               
new renewable energy projects in Alaska.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
10:44:37 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  RAUSCHER  asked if  [solar]  energy  is less  valuable  in                                                               
Alaska,  giving context  to his  question  with the  inconsistent                                                               
daylight hours and cold.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM responded that yes,  solar energy is less valuable in                                                               
Alaska compared to a place like California.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER  asked if the long  days of summer in  Alaska have                                                               
an effect on the efficiency of solar.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM  answered yes, but the  angle must be changed  to get                                                               
the most amount of sunlight at any time.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
10:48:10 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM continued his presentation  on slide 19, which showed                                                               
a graph of the total capital cost of renewable energy per Kwh.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
10:49:28 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE MCKAY  asked a  clarifying question  as to  what a                                                               
GFM inverter is.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM  explained  that  the smaller  the  grid,  the  more                                                               
difficult it is to keep that  grid stable. He said GFM stands for                                                               
grid forming inverter, or grid following inverter.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER  asked if the  Houston solar project  was included                                                               
in the study.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM said  he  thinks  it was  included,  but that  plant                                                               
doesn't need anything special.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  RAUSCHER asked  for  clarification as  to  what a  "small"                                                               
project means in relative terms.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM said that  his mind is usually set in  the frame of a                                                               
100 Mw.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER  asked how  many solar panels  would be  needed to                                                               
power a 100Mw project.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM said  that the  number of  panels it  would take  to                                                               
power a project  of that size is comparable  to multiple football                                                               
fields.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
10:53:29 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM resumed his presentation  on slide 21, which showed a                                                               
map of wind development sites along the Railbelt.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER asked what the  difference between developers' and                                                               
NREL data would be.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM  answered that  NREL  uses  data from  the  National                                                               
Aeronautics  and Space  Administration (NASA)  that gives  a good                                                               
general idea of information in  a place, but local developers get                                                               
more information pertinent to the area they are studying.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
10:55:32 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM resumed  his presentation  on slide  22, which  gave                                                               
explanation on  how renewables  could be  developed at  a cheaper                                                               
price  than  natural  gas.  He  gave  multiple  examples  of  how                                                               
additional costs could be incurred  by use practices. He moved to                                                               
slide 24, which  raised the question of  reliability benefits, of                                                               
which he said  there is only a small potential.  He said all that                                                               
renewables would do is offset the  use of natural gas. He skipped                                                               
to slide  26, which explained  the process for finding  the least                                                               
expensive  option   for  developing  renewables  in   Alaska.  He                                                               
continued  to slide  27, which  showed  a graph  of cost  savings                                                               
between different hypothetical energy use scenarios.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
11:01:42 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE MCKAY  asked about taxes and  royalties that would                                                               
be lost from less natural gas extraction in state.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM  responded that  the working  assumption is  that the                                                               
state uses imported  LNG, not drilling for new gas.   In response                                                               
to a  follow-up question,  he clarified that  NREL is  looking at                                                               
the marginal resource, which is likely to be LNG.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
11:05:02 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER asked what percentage  of battery cost and storage                                                               
is accounted for in the study.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM answered  that NREL used a minimal  assumption of the                                                               
value of energy storage.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
11:06:41 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM  moved to  slide 28,  which explained  the cumulative                                                               
savings of  a certain scenario  proposed in a previous  slide. He                                                               
moved to  slide 29,  which explained  the methodology  to finding                                                               
the scenario with the greatest cost-benefit.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
11:08:15 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER  asked Mr. Denholm  to explain how the  height and                                                               
elevation of a wind project affects its effectiveness.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM explained the basic design  of a wind turbine and how                                                               
the height/elevation of the machine affects its effectiveness.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
11:10:30 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE MCKAY asked how these  projects could be developed                                                               
in  the harsh  climate of  Alaska.  He also  asked how  vandalism                                                               
would affect the hypothetical solar panels.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
11:13:41 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SCHRAGE  drew attention  to a February  25 article                                                               
written by  the Anchorage Daily  News and explained  the benefits                                                             
that could come from these projects.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
11:15:27 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM resumed his presentation  on slide 30, which showed a                                                               
map  of  how  energy  capacity  would  increase  with  the  newly                                                               
installed renewables.  He continued to slide  31, which explained                                                               
the volatility  of the costs  of renewables and natural  gas, and                                                               
how that influenced the study.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
11:17:43 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  RAUSCHER asked  if  it is  possible to  keep  up with  new                                                               
technology when developing renewables.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM  said  that  the   biggest  question  in  developing                                                               
renewables  is if  it  is too  soon, if  the  next generation  of                                                               
renewables would be tenfold better than the current.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  RAUSCHER  asked   how  many  solar  panels   it  takes  to                                                               
accomplish what one wind turbine could accomplish.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM answered  that it would take  20,000 individual solar                                                               
panels to  produce the  same amount  of energy  as a  single wind                                                               
turbine.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
11:21:38 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE   WRIGHT   asked   how  often   renewable   energy                                                               
technology changes.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM  replied that technology is  incrementally improving,                                                               
with small changes throughout the years.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
11:23:28 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM   continued  to  slide   32,  which   explained  the                                                               
reliability  prospects  of  renewable energy  implementation.  He                                                               
moved  to slide  33, which  he  called "the  scary graph,"  which                                                               
displayed  the hourly  fraction  of generation  met  by wind  and                                                               
solar. He skipped  to slide 35, which explained  the cost impacts                                                               
of  addressing   variability  and  reliability   associated  with                                                               
integrating renewables.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
11:27:18 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER asked the difference between CES and RES.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM  said that  the acronyms  mean clean  energy standard                                                               
and renewable energy standard.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER asked the advantage of CES versus RES.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM  advised that  the potential to  reduce costs  is the                                                               
benefit. He said  there hasn't been as much success  as was hoped                                                               
for with small modular reactors.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
11:29:51 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  WRIGHT asked  about  the study's  words on  micro                                                               
reactors.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM responded that it all comes down to cost.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  WRIGHT asked  if the  state is  moving along  too                                                               
early in terms of a reactor's lifespan.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM acknowledged that that  is a possibility, but pointed                                                               
out that it is a gain due to cost and federal funding.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
11:31:51 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  RAUSCHER asked  if these  studies are  performed for  each                                                               
state.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM  said that NREL  is primarily responding to  the U.S.                                                               
Department  of Energy's  need to  understand each  state's energy                                                               
needs.  He said  NRELS does  individual regional  studies on  the                                                               
basis of funding.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER asked if NREL is  a limited liability company or a                                                               
non-profit company.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
MR. DENHOLM said  that NREL is a not-for-profit  entity funded by                                                               
the Federal Government.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR RAUSCHER  asked about  any biases in  the studies  that may                                                               
bring about scrutiny from the public.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MR.  DENHOLM   responded  that   NREL  has   specific  scientific                                                               
integrities and policies that it follows no matter what.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
11:36:09 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SCHRAGE said he was  pleased that the committee is                                                               
receiving a nonpartisan study.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
11:37:50 AM                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
ADJOURNMENT                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
There being no  further business before the  committee, the House                                                               
Special Committee on Energy meeting was adjourned at 11:38 a.m.                                                                 

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
NREL 80% Cost Analysis.pdf HENE 4/4/2024 10:15:00 AM
NREL Cost Analysis
Alaska RPS study for HENE briefing 4_4.pdf HENE 4/4/2024 10:15:00 AM
NREL 80%